If you’re bearish…

January 5, 2006 41 Comments

It’s hard to imagine this rally running too far with the VIX starting at such a low level.  Typically, strong rallies need to see a VIX at least in the low to mid teens to have any sustainability.  This rally started with the VIX at 11.50. 

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In addition, both the SPX and the NDX will hit a DeMark Sequential (TM) 13 sell signal if the indexes close at new highs.  The DeMark signals form a "spread top" on occasion because the 13 count has to be higher than the 8 – this is a "safety switch" which DeMark built into the Sequential and Combo indicators to make sure a trend is actually extended when the 13 appears.  While I have found these "spread top" DeMark signals to be much less reliable than those which are more compact, I still pay attention to them since they do work well on occasion.

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41 thoughts on “If you’re bearish…”

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