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Category: Structural

Does The Flat Yield Curve Forecast A Weak Equity Market?

December 28, 2005 Administrator 11 Comments

As the yield curve briefly inverted yesterday and the equity markets took a nose dive, a lot of news stories…

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Posted in: Econ, Structural

If you’re bearish (post Fed hikes)…

December 8, 2005 Administrator 9 Comments

Since it seems the last Fed hike is quickly approaching, it’s worth taking a look at what happens to equities…

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Posted in: Check your thesis, If you're bearish..., Structural

The Post Secondary Education Market Is Post Its Growth Phase

December 6, 2005 Administrator 18 Comments

The post secondary education industry has continued to grow rapidly over the past two years but has lagged in stock…

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Posted in: Structural

The Big Buyback Lie: Size Does Matter

December 5, 2005 Administrator 1 Comment

Given my empirical observations about buybacks two weeks ago, it’s nice to see my instincts backed up by hard data. …

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Posted in: Structural

Greenspan’s Job Is Almost Complete

November 30, 2005 Administrator 1 Comment

I believe the Fed will stop hiking rates at the 4.5% – 4.75% level.  All else being equal, the end…

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Posted in: Econ, Structural

Avoid Black-Hole Buybacks

November 23, 2005 Administrator 2 Comments

"Stock buybacks are the simplest and best way a company can reward its investors." — Peter Lynch As the number…

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Posted in: Long stock ideas, Stock ideas, Structural

Fed Continues To Add Liquidity Behind The Scenes

November 22, 2005 Administrator 14 Comments

A couple of months ago, I highlighted the odd way the Fed has been flattening the yield curve and jawboning…

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Posted in: Econ, Structural

Multiple Compression Could Turn Into Multiple Expansion With Lower Commodity Prices

October 28, 2005 Administrator 10 Comments

Following a solid spring, a combination of macroeconomic and industry specific factors began to be manifested retail.  These have been…

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Posted in: Check your thesis, Econ, Structural

The Visible Hand of Uncle Sam

October 20, 2005 Administrator 5 Comments

People can’t stand two things – randomness and responsibility.  On the first point I cite Voltaire: “If God did not…

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Posted in: Structural

Volatility Squeezed Higher

October 10, 2005 Administrator 1 Comment

Numerous sources have commented on the low volatility in the past two years.  I thought the following was an excellent…

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Posted in: If you're bearish..., Structural

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It's always darkest before it turns pitch black.

Contrahour
Contrahour avatar Contrahour @Contrahour ·
5 Apr 2025 1908515544120041533

The consequences will be staggering, by @SteveSchmidtSES https://open.substack.com/pub/steveschmidt/p/the-consequences-will-be-staggering?r=oci&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email

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Contrahour avatar Contrahour @Contrahour ·
4 Nov 2024 1853503533422940221

High tariffs are deflationary, not inflationary, because they bring the economy to a screeching halt while everyone tries to figure out what's going on.

High tariffs are deflationary, not inflationary, because they bring the economy to a screeching halt while everyone tries to figure out what's going on.
derek guy @dieworkwear

Clothing prices if Trump imposes a 25% tariff on all Mexican imports

— Levi's jeans: $79.50 ➡️ $99.38
— Patagonia hoodie: $89➡️ $111.25
— Tecovas cowboy boots: $345➡️ $431.25
— RRL Halkirk jacket: $790➡️ $987.50

Nike, Hickey Freeman, and New Balance also produce in Mexico

Reply on Twitter 1853503533422940221 Retweet on Twitter 1853503533422940221 0 Like on Twitter 1853503533422940221 1 Twitter 1853503533422940221
Contrahour avatar Contrahour @Contrahour ·
4 Nov 2024 1853412925978837425

🤣

derek guy @dieworkwear

How to dress for the civil war (aka how to style cool military items). 🧵

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Contrahour avatar Contrahour @Contrahour ·
4 Nov 2024 1853411906213523855

Checking in on Trump's rally last night...

https://www.youtube.com/embed/LI_Oe-jtgdI Twitter feed video.
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dieworkwear avatar derek guy @dieworkwear ·
2 Nov 2024 1852770411127394785

But this framework gets you closer to understanding why certain things don't work. The chances of you looking bad in a suit jacket worn without the matching pants is very high because it'll look like you spilled something on your suit pants and had to change out of them.

Image for the Tweet beginning: But this framework gets you Twitter feed image.
Image for the Tweet beginning: But this framework gets you Twitter feed image.
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Contrahour avatar Contrahour @Contrahour ·
3 Nov 2024 1852907889024709043

Raising children has been by far the most difficult thing we've ever done. It's expensive, infuriating, and often demoralizing. I love my kids more than anything, but to say it's a tragedy not having kids is silly. It's a good decision in a lot of cases.

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