Fade the Fed?

The stock market rally is becoming a bit stretched.  Several of the short term DeMark Sequential (TM) indicators have reached 13 sell signals.

First, the OEX 150 minute chart hit a delayed 13 DeMark Sequential on the afternoon of the Fed rate hike. 

Oex_121205_60_min

Second, the NDX hit a similar DeMark Sequential (TM) sell signal…

Ndx_121205_60_min

…as well as having hit a Combo (TM) sell 13 several days ago. 

Ndx_daily_121205

Finally, the sentiment is finally beginning to become a bit over-exuberant as well.  The Total Bulls from the sentiment surveys has surpassed 250 (265 being the most recent ultimate tops), which in the past has been close to market tops. 

Bull_bear_survey_121205

So while I continue to be bullish over the next three to six months, I’m hedging my long exposure with some puts on the strong market rally this afternoon. 

1 thought on “Fade the Fed?”

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