Breakout or Bull Trap?

Friday’s ugly market correction has taken several indexes back to recent breakout points.  If these breakout points fail, it’s likely that a significant correction could ensue because the indexes will have traced out a bearish rising wedge pattern.  On the final move higher, price often gets "thrown-over" the upper trendline of the wedge before falling back.  This pattern "traps" over exuberant bulls in at higher prices and creates supply each time price rises. 

The "throw-over" or "bull trap" could occur on the SOX if the decline continues into this week.

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A "throw-over" in the SOX could precede a "throw-over" on the Nasdaq…

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If the S&P 500 is any guide, the "throw-over" will complete, which could precipitate a more serious decline.   

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